| Before September: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 1, 2026 | No | 2.7M |
| Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 2.2M |
| Above 13: How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 1, 2026 | No | 1.2M |
| Before October: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 1, 2026 | No | 489K |
| Above 4000: Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 13, 2026 | Yes | 432K |
| Above 14: How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 1, 2026 | No | 385K |
| ChatGPT: Best AI in Sep 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 30, 2026 | No | 283K |
| Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 7, 2026 | Yes | 273K |
| Above 11: How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 232K |
| Will Google release Gemini 4 before Oct 16, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 13, 2026 | Yes | 231K |
| Above 8: How many launches will SpaceX have in Sep 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 1, 2026 | No | 227K |
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 226K |
| Claude: Best AI in Sep 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 30, 2026 | Yes | 225K |
| Above 12: How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 1, 2026 | Yes | 210K |
| Gemini: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 31, 2026 | Yes | 209K |
| Above 18.4%: OpenAI market share this week?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 12, 2026 | Yes | 204K |
| Above 10: How many launches will SpaceX have in Sep 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 1, 2026 | No | 199K |
| claude-fable-5: What will be the top AI model this month?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 30, 2026 | No | 184K |
| Claude: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 184K |
| Above 17.8%: Google market share this week?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 12, 2026 | No | 183K |
| Above 18.7%: OpenAI market share this week?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 12, 2026 | No | 183K |
| Above 18.1%: OpenAI market share this week?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 12, 2026 | Yes | 180K |
| Will Google release Gemini 4 before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 30, 2026 | No | 180K |
| Above 23.4%: DeepSeek market share this week?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 12, 2026 | Yes | 179K |
| Above 10: How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Nov 1, 2026 | Yes | 178K |
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 31, 2026 | No | 174K |
| Muse: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 168K |
| ChatGPT: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 164K |
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 30, 2026 | No | 159K |
| Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Sep 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 31, 2026 | No | 157K |
| Above 20.8%: Google market share this week?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 19, 2026 | No | 155K |
| Above 15: How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 1, 2026 | No | 154K |
| Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Aug 31, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 30, 2026 | No | 150K |
| At least 1520 score: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 1, 2026 | Yes | 143K |
| Above 18.8%: OpenAI market share this week?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 19, 2026 | No | 141K |
| Above 9: How many launches will SpaceX have in Sep 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 1, 2026 | No | 137K |
| Gemini: Best AI in Sep 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 30, 2026 | No | 132K |
| Above 18.4%: OpenAI market share this week?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 19, 2026 | Yes | 131K |
| Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 30, 2026 | No | 128K |
| Above 25.3%: DeepSeek market share this week?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 20, 2026 | Yes | 128K |
| Above 10: How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 1, 2026 | Yes | 127K |
| Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 7, 2026 | Yes | 122K |
| ChatGPT: Best AI this weekKalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 21, 2026 | No | 113K |
| At least 1540 score: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 29, 2026 | Yes | 113K |
| Above 24.1%: DeepSeek market share this week?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 19, 2026 | Yes | 109K |
| Above 6.4%: Tencent market share this week?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 20, 2026 | No | 109K |
| Above 18.5%: OpenAI market share this week?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 5, 2026 | No | 107K |
| Above 24.4%: DeepSeek market share this week?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 19, 2026 | No | 107K |
| Above 7: How many launches will SpaceX have in Sep 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 1, 2026 | Yes | 106K |
| Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 31, 2026 | No | 102K |