No
Settled Sep 1, 2026 · opened at 72%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
94% to 19% (−75.5 pts)Jun 10, 12:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
83% to 94% (+11.5 pts)Jun 8, 11:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
45% to 85% (+40 pts)May 29, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
70% to 33% (−37 pts)May 17, 8:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
27% to 70% (+43 pts)May 16, 11:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- Ticker
- KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26SEP01
- Closes
- Aug 31, 2026
- Category
- Science and technology
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