| Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 2.2M |
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 226K |
| Gemini: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 31, 2026 | Yes | 209K |
| Claude: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 184K |
| Muse: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 168K |
| ChatGPT: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 164K |
| At least 1540 score: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 29, 2026 | Yes | 113K |
| Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 29, 2026 | No | 72.3K |
| Before November: When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 42.7K |
| Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 40.4K |
| Qwen: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 30.1K |
| Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 21.5K |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 32.9%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 28, 2026 | No | 20.9K |
| Yes: Will Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 18.3K |
| Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 28, 2026 | Yes | 14.9K |
| Kimi: KimiKalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 13.6K |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.3%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 30, 2026 | No | 12K |
| Grok: Best AI in Oct 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 11.8K |
| Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 3.9%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 26, 2026 | Yes | 10.3K |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 15.7%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 30, 2026 | No | 8,936 |
| Xiaomi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 31, 2026 | Yes | 8,869 |
| Moonshot: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 8,774 |
| Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 7.8%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 28, 2026 | Yes | 8,456 |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.3%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 30, 2026 | No | 8,120 |
| MiMo: Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 7,831 |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.0%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 30, 2026 | No | 7,094 |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.3%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 28, 2026 | No | 6,790 |
| Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 11.6%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 28, 2026 | Yes | 6,753 |
| Grok: Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 6,410 |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 28.5%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 30, 2026 | Yes | 5,381 |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.5%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 30, 2026 | No | 5,122 |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 15.8%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 26, 2026 | No | 4,984 |
| Above 11: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Nov 1, 2026 | Yes | 4,733 |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 31.0%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 28, 2026 | No | 4,487 |
| ChatGPT: Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 31, 2026 | Yes | 4,432 |
| Will Anthropic release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 4,406 |
| Above 12: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026 | No | 4,144 |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 7.4%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 28, 2026 | No | 4,098 |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 32.5%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 30, 2026 | No | 4,063 |
| Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 30, 2026 | Yes | 4,047 |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 28, 2026 | No | 3,943 |
| Claude: Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 31, 2026 | No | 3,943 |
| Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.7%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 28, 2026 | Yes | 3,941 |
| DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.9%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 28, 2026 | Yes | 3,909 |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.5%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 30, 2026 | No | 3,826 |
| Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.7%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 26, 2026 | No | 3,768 |
| DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.3%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 26, 2026 | Yes | 3,754 |
| DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.9%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 26, 2026 | Yes | 3,742 |
| Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 14.7%Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 28, 2026 | No | 3,631 |
| Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 29.2%Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 30, 2026 | Yes | 3,621 |