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Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

KalshiSettled No2.2M contracts traded

No

Settled Nov 1, 2026

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11:06:43 AM ET

Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXALIENS-26NOV
Closes
Nov 1, 2026

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