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Politics markets.

5,672 politics markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, 22 of them open. Price history, outcome, rules and what moved each one.

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Markets

MarketYesVolume
Before Sep 1, 2026: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 1, 2026No4.1M
Before Oct 1, 2026: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 6, 2026No3.3M
Donald Trump: Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No3.1M
Before Nov 1, 2026: Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026No1.7M
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Sep 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 1, 2026No1.7M
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No1.4M
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 1, 2026No1.4M
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 20, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 17, 2026Yes1.2M
Before Oct 1, 2026: Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 1, 2026No1.1M
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No974K
Yes: Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 1, 2026No940K
Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Aug 28, 2026Yes782K
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026No729K
Yes: Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 19, 2026Yes656K
Virginia: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026No625K
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi · Open, closes Dec 31, 202630%550K
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No541K
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation: What will Donald Trump say during Real America's Voice - America Speaks?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Aug 11, 2026Yes540K
Yes: Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 24, 2026No537K
Will Trump say "JD / Vance" before Aug 24, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Aug 24, 2026Yes514K
Before Sep 1, 2026: Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before September?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 31, 2026No496K
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 17, 2026Yes494K
Will Trump say "Moon" before Sep 7, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 7, 2026Yes493K
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 31, 2026No475K
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No466K
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No449K
Yulia Navalnaya: Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No419K
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 17, 2026Yes365K
Zohran / Mamdani: What will Donald Trump say during Remarks in Nassau County, New York?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Aug 14, 2026Yes348K
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Polymarket · Open, closes Dec 31, 202620%337K
Will Trump say "Kamala" before Aug 10, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Aug 10, 2026Yes330K
Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Aug 17, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Aug 17, 2026Yes327K
Missouri: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Nov 1, 2026No324K
Will Danielle Alvarez be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No304K
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 9, 2026Yes294K
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms: Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No293K
Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No286K
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 17, 2026Yes285K
Crypto / Bitcoin: What will Donald Trump say during Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 5, 2026No284K
Crypto / Bitcoin: What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 11, 2026No283K
Afford / Affordable / Affordability: What will Donald Trump say during Announcement on Healthcare originally scheduled for September 18, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 19, 2026No282K
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No280K
Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Sep 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 1, 2026No278K
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Oct 17, 2026Yes272K
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No270K
Hottest: What will Donald Trump say during Real America's Voice - America Speaks?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Aug 11, 2026No268K
Yes: Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 4, 2026No266K
Will Roma Daravi be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Oct 9, 2026No264K
Will Trump say "DoorDash / DASH" before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi · Settled Yes · closed Sep 30, 2026Yes257K
Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Sep 14, 2026?Kalshi · Settled No · closed Sep 14, 2026No221K
5,672 markets