| James Talarico, 2+ pts: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 2 percentage points?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 65% | 275K |
| Tom Begich: Who will win the governorship in Alaska?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 0.1% | 272K |
| Marquita Bradshaw: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Tennessee?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 2% | 270K |
| Bruce Blakeman (R): Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 4% | 269K |
| Cait Conley: Will Democratic win the House race for NY-17?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 55% | 269K |
| AK, IA, ME: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.5% | 268K |
| Above 57: Will the Democratic party hold more than 57 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 3% | 268K |
| JB Pritzker: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in IllinoisKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 98% | 268K |
| 57+: Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 0.5% | 268K |
| Doug Jones: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in AlabamaKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 8% | 265K |
| IA, ME: Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 264K |
| Jerri Green: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in TennesseeKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 7% | 264K |
| Scott Wiener: Who will win the CA-11 House election?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 81% | 262K |
| Jon Ossoff (D): Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 97% | 261K |
| Will the Democratic party hold exactly 55 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 13% | 261K |
| AK, IA, MI, OH: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 261K |
| Cinde Warmington: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New HampshireKalshi · Open, closes Nov 7, 2029 | 16% | 260K |
| Will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 8% | 260K |
| El-Sayed, 5+ pts: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 46% | 259K |
| Shomari Figures: Will Democratic win the House race for AL-02?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 49% | 259K |
| Laurie Buckhout: Will Republican win the House race for NC-1?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 14% | 256K |
| TX: Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 1% | 255K |
| All 7: Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 4% | 254K |
| John E. Sununu (R): Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 6% | 253K |
| Rob Wittman: Will Republican win the House race for VA-1?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 34% | 253K |
| Oil ≥ $85; R Senate: Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 23% | 252K |
| AK: Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 252K |
| KS, ME, MI, OH: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 252K |
| AK, KS, OH, TX: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.5% | 251K |
| Amy Klobuchar: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MinnesotaKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 97% | 249K |
| Dan Cox: Will the Republican party win the governorship in MarylandKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 1% | 248K |
| James Talarico, 4+ pts: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 4 percentage points?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 44% | 247K |
| Bob Brooks: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-7?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 88% | 245K |
| AK, KS: Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.9% | 245K |
| AK, IA, ME, MI, TX: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 245K |
| Brad Knott: Will Republican win the House race for NC-13?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 66% | 245K |
| AK, ME, MI, OH, TX: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 244K |
| Will the Democratic party hold exactly 57 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 4% | 243K |
| James Talarico, 1+ pts: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 71% | 240K |
| Tina Kotek: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in OregonKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 82% | 240K |
| Kurt Alme (R): Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 92% | 239K |
| AK, IA, MI, OH, TX: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 238K |
| Richard Hudson: Will Republican win the House race for NC-09?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 66% | 236K |
| Kelly Ayotte: Will the Republican party win the governorship in New HampshireKalshi · Open, closes Nov 7, 2029 | 85% | 236K |
| AK, ME, OH: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 235K |
| AK, MI, OH: Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 234K |
| KS: Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 3% | 233K |
| Justin Murphy: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Jersey?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 2% | 233K |
| AK, IA, KS: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 232K |
| Darren Bailey: Will the Republican party win the governorship in IllinoisKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 2% | 231K |