| Jeff Van Drew (R): Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.4% | 84.2K |
| April Verlato (R): Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 83.9K |
| Carmela Conroy (D): Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 12% | 83.9K |
| 220-224: Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 3% | 80.8K |
| No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 74% | 80.5K |
| Houston Brignano (R): Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 1% | 79.9K |
| Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Dec 31, 2026 | 3% | 78.6K |
| Lisa Demuth (R): Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 76.6K |
| Bob Harvie (D): Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 56% | 75.6K |
| Dems sweep: Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 70% | 74.5K |
| Deb Haaland (D): Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 96% | 73.4K |
| Amy Klobuchar (D): Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 98% | 72.2K |
| Riley Moore (R): Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 98% | 72K |
| Shutdown & Democratic Party: Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Jan 31, 2027 | 95% | 71.9K |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 71.8K |
| Zach Dembo (D): Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 56% | 71.2K |
| Tessa Lynn Hodge (D): Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 19% | 70.7K |
| Lula, Eizenkot, Dems: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 4, 2026 | 54% | 70.4K |
| Doug Chapin (D): Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 4% | 70.2K |
| Aaron Flint (R): Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.4% | 70.1K |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 70% | 69.1K |
| Max Ganorkar (R): Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 69K |
| Brandon Gill (R): Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 98% | 68.8K |
| Chris Jones (D): Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.9% | 68.7K |
| Stacy Garrity (R): Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 68.2K |
| No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 72% | 67.7K |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 96% | 66.9K |
| Cyndi Munson (D): Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 8% | 65.9K |
| Mike Lawler (R): Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 65.6K |
| Mike Beltran (R): Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 24% | 65.4K |
| Jake Johnson (D): Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 95% | 65.4K |
| Bill Hagerty (R): Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 98% | 65.1K |
| Monica De La Cruz (R): Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 11% | 63.8K |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 63.8K |
| Mark Pocan (D): Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 99% | 63.6K |
| Scott Fitzgerald (R): Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 98% | 63.5K |
| Mike Rounds (R): Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 95% | 63.2K |
| Frank Lucas (R): Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 98% | 62.8K |
| Anthony Constantino (R): Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 99.2% | 62.7K |
| Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate: Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.4% | 62.4K |
| Matthew Dunlap (D): Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.7% | 61.6K |
| Helena Foulkes (D): Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 97% | 61.5K |
| Ammie Akin (R): Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 1% | 61.5K |
| Alani Bankhead (D): Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 61.1K |
| Dems sweep: Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 96% | 61K |
| Mario Díaz-Balart (R): Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 96% | 60.6K |
| Carlos De La Cruz (R): Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 28% | 60.4K |
| Tom Cotton (R): Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 96% | 60K |
| Jeremy Moss (D): Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 98% | 59.7K |
| Jamie Davis (D): Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Closed, awaiting settlement · closed Nov 3, 2026 | 14% | 59.6K |