| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 343K |
| IA, OH: Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 1% | 343K |
| Chris Pappas (D): Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 96% | 341K |
| Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 6% | 341K |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: Who will win the governorship in Alaska?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 88% | 339K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 7% | 339K |
| Yes: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 4, 2026 | 99.6% | 337K |
| El-Sayed, 3+ pts: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 62% | 337K |
| Will the Democratic party win 226-229 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 5% | 335K |
| Oil < $80; D Senate: Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 331K |
| Victor Marx: Will the Republican party win the governorship in ColoradoKalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 3% | 330K |
| Greg Abbott and James Talarico win: Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 43% | 328K |
| Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 75% | 327K |
| KS, MI: Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.3% | 323K |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.7% | 321K |
| James Talarico, 7+ pts: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 20% | 318K |
| Angie Nixon (D): Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 14% | 317K |
| Jamie Ager: Will Democratic win the House race for NC-11?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 88% | 316K |
| Bob Harvie: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-1?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 66% | 315K |
| Michele Tafoya (R): Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 8% | 313K |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 88% | 312K |
| Rob Bresnahan: Will Republican win the House race for PA-8?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 12% | 308K |
| Katie Hobbs (D): Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 94% | 306K |
| Oil < $80; R Senate: Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 306K |
| Democratic Party: Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms?Kalshi · Open, closes Jan 1, 2027 | 88% | 301K |
| Kathy Castor: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 76% | 300K |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms (D): Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 71% | 300K |
| Christina Bohannan: Will Democratic win the House race for IA-1?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 92% | 299K |
| Jamie Davis: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Louisiana?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 14% | 298K |
| Andy Biggs (R): Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 7% | 298K |
| AK, IA, ME, MI, OH: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.2% | 297K |
| John James (R): Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 4% | 296K |
| Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win: Will Texas Governor winner be Democratic party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 38% | 295K |
| Will the Republican party hold exactly 49 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 7% | 295K |
| ME: Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 1% | 295K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 0.4% | 293K |
| Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 16% | 293K |
| Bill Hagerty: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Tennessee?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 98% | 292K |
| Richard Ojeda: Will Democratic win the House race for NC-09?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 35% | 291K |
| KS, ME, OH, TX: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 285K |
| AK, IA: Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 284K |
| Jim Risch (R): Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 97% | 283K |
| Mike Rounds: Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Dakota?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 95% | 282K |
| Below 53: Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi · Open, closes Feb 1, 2027 | 41% | 281K |
| Paul Barringer: Will Democratic win the House race for NC-13?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 35% | 280K |
| IA, MI: Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.6% | 280K |
| Cindy Burbank: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Nebraska?Kalshi · Open, closes Nov 3, 2027 | 0.5% | 279K |
| AK, ME, MI: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 279K |
| Scott Colom (D): Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 14% | 276K |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 11% | 276K |