| Josh Turek (D): Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 47% | 1M |
| Sen. Dan Sullivan: Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 27% | 1M |
| Jon Husted (R): Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 28% | 992K |
| Darline Graham Nordone (R): Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 70% | 988K |
| Annie Andrews (D): Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 31% | 957K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 28% | 917K |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (R): Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 19% | 896K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 0.8% | 872K |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 97% | 861K |
| Amy Acton (D): Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 81% | 833K |
| Gina Hinojosa (D): Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 36% | 781K |
| Byron Donalds (R): Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 63% | 779K |
| Aaron Ford (D): Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 79% | 754K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 4% | 700K |
| IA, KS, MI: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.7% | 666K |
| David Jolly (D): Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 39% | 631K |
| Joe Lombardo (R): Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 23% | 572K |
| ≤47: Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 51% | 570K |
| Hormuz Agreement; D Senate: Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 568K |
| 28–29: Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 559K |
| David Crowley (D): Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 85% | 513K |
| Tom Tiffany (R): Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 16% | 508K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 0.4% | 503K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 3% | 489K |
| Peggy Flanagan (D): Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 95% | 468K |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith (R): Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 87% | 458K |
| Ashley Moody (R): Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 88% | 438K |
| Hormuz Agreement; R Senate: Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 1% | 410K |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.9% | 396K |
| Oil < $85; R Senate: Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.5% | 383K |
| Paul Barringer (D): Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 46% | 374K |
| Oil < $85; D Senate: Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.3% | 367K |
| Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 1% | 358K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.1% | 343K |
| IA, OH: Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.9% | 343K |
| Chris Pappas (D): Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 96% | 340K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Polymarket · Open | 7% | 339K |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Polymarket · Open, closes Dec 31, 2026 | 20% | 337K |
| Oil < $80; D Senate: Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.4% | 331K |
| Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 71% | 327K |
| KS, MI: Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.4% | 323K |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 2% | 321K |
| Angie Nixon (D): Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 13% | 316K |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 89% | 312K |
| Oil < $80; R Senate: Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.3% | 306K |
| Katie Hobbs (D): Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 94% | 304K |
| Michele Tafoya (R): Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 7% | 301K |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms (D): Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 71% | 298K |
| Andy Biggs (R): Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 7% | 298K |
| AK, IA, ME, MI, OH: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?Polymarket · Open, closes Nov 3, 2026 | 0.3% | 297K |