No
Settled Sep 8, 2026 · opened at 64%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
90% to 30% (−60 pts)Aug 23, 9:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
62% to 90% (+28 pts)Aug 23, 10:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
48% to 62% (+14.5 pts)Aug 23, 12:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
42% to 55% (+13 pts)Aug 2, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
59% to 41% (−17.5 pts)Aug 1, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If SpaceXAI releases Grok 4.7 before Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- Ticker
- KXGROK-GROK47-26SEP04
- Closes
- Sep 3, 2026
- Category
- Science and technology
Test an idea on this market
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