Markets

Gemini market share this week?

Above 18.5%KalshiSettled Yes5,532 contracts traded

Yes

Settled Aug 31, 2026 · opened at 65%

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100%50%0%
Aug 26Aug 28Aug 30

Venue price history · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 99% to 93% (−6.5 pts)Aug 30, 2:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 94% to 98% (+4 pts)Aug 27, 9:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 88% to 94% (+5.5 pts)Aug 26, 2:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 75% to 88% (+13 pts)Aug 26, 1:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 68% to 77% (+8.5 pts)Aug 26, 9:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Google scores above 18.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Aug 24, 2026 .

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.

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The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXGOOGSHARE-26AUG24-18.5
Closes
Aug 30, 2026

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