Will Ken Block (Independent) win the governorship in Rhode Island
KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 202786K contracts traded
3%
Yes · −1.5 pts in 24 h · bid 2%, ask 3%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
8% to 3% (−5.5 pts)Oct 2, 5:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
2% to 8% (+6 pts)Oct 1, 5:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
3% to 9% (+5.5 pts)Sep 10, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
50% to 7% (−43 pts)May 27, 8:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
6% to 50% (+44.5 pts)May 22, 6:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Ken Block is inaugurated as the governor of Rhode Island pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- GOVPARTYRI-26-KBLO
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
Langbot consolidated probability
3%
Yes, across 2 venues, as of Nov 2, 9:55 AM ET. The venues are 0.8% apart. Fees not included. How it is measured
- Kalshi 3% · weight 100%
- Polymarket 2% · weight 0%
A published measurement: the liquidity-weighted average of the YES mids of equivalent markets on different venues, stale and wide quotes left out, fees not included. Not advice, not a signal.
The same question on Polymarket
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