Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
Ken PaxtonKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 202747.3M contracts traded
26%
Yes · −5 pts in 24 h · bid 25%, ask 27%
Venue price history
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
41% to 36% (−5 pts)Oct 1, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
57% to 62% (+5 pts)May 28, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
59% to 54% (−5 pts)May 25, 6:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
55% to 59% (+4 pts)May 24, 6:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
49% to 55% (+6 pts)May 20, 7:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- SENATETX-26-R
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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