Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?
James TalaricoKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 202719.6M contracts traded
74%
Yes · +4.5 pts in 24 h · bid 73%, ask 74%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
60% to 65% (+5 pts)Oct 1, 7:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
52% to 57% (+5 pts)Sep 18, 6:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
45% to 39% (−6 pts)May 28, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
42% to 47% (+5.5 pts)May 25, 5:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
52% to 45% (−7 pts)May 21, 3:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- SENATETX-26-D
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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