Will Brian Bengss win the Senate race in South Dakota?

KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 2027351K contracts traded

6%

Yes · +0.5 pts in 24 h · bid 5%, ask 6%

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100%50%0%
Aug 6Sep 5Oct 5

Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 7% to 3% (−4 pts)Oct 22, 7:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 13% to 9% (−4 pts)Sep 25, 5:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 15% to 7% (−8 pts)Sep 11, 1:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 5% to 15% (+10 pts)Sep 10, 4:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 3% to 7% (+4 pts)Sep 8, 1:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Brian Bengs is sworn in as a Senator of South Dakota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

See full rules for details.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
SENATESD-26-BBEN
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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