angbot

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?

Sherrod BrownKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20274.7M contracts traded

71%

Yes · −1.5 pts in 24 h · bid 70%, ask 71%

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100%50%0%
May 7Jul 7Sep 6

Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 64% to 70% (+6 pts)Oct 22, 6:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 59% to 65% (+6 pts)Oct 4, 3:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 53% to 48% (−5.5 pts)Aug 8, 4:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 51% to 56% (+5 pts)Jun 5, 1:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 56% to 51% (−5 pts)May 10, 1:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio pursuant to the Class III (special election) held on November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

See full rules for details.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
SENATEOHS-26-D
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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