Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?
Sherrod BrownKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20274.7M contracts traded
71%
Yes · −1.5 pts in 24 h · bid 70%, ask 71%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
64% to 70% (+6 pts)Oct 22, 6:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
59% to 65% (+6 pts)Oct 4, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
53% to 48% (−5.5 pts)Aug 8, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
51% to 56% (+5 pts)Jun 5, 1:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
56% to 51% (−5 pts)May 10, 1:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio pursuant to the Class III (special election) held on November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- SENATEOHS-26-D
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
Test an idea on this market
Replay the recorded event with your strategy against the order books that were really there, with real fees and timing, before you risk money.
Test an idea on this market