Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan?
Mike RogersKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 202711.8M contracts traded
22%
Yes · −2.5 pts in 24 h · bid 21%, ask 22%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
35% to 42% (+7 pts)Aug 5, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
33% to 27% (−6 pts)Jun 24, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
27% to 33% (+6 pts)Jun 23, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
35% to 28% (−6.5 pts)Jun 4, 11:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
28% to 35% (+6.5 pts)Jun 3, 1:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- SENATEMI-26-R
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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