Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?
Abdul El-SayedKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20278M contracts traded
79%
Yes · +1.5 pts in 24 h · bid 78%, ask 79%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
68% to 76% (+8 pts)Oct 30, 2:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
65% to 71% (+6 pts)Sep 22, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
56% to 61% (+4.5 pts)Aug 20, 12:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
73% to 67% (−6 pts)May 31, 1:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
77% to 72% (−4.5 pts)May 10, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- SENATEMI-26-D
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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