Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?
Josh TurekKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20275.1M contracts traded
49%
Yes · +4.5 pts in 24 h · bid 48%, ask 49%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
40% to 46% (+6 pts)Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
33% to 39% (+5.5 pts)Sep 12, 6:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
41% to 46% (+5 pts)Aug 14, 5:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
37% to 42% (+4.5 pts)Jul 26, 6:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
41% to 36% (−5.5 pts)Jul 17, 6:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- SENATEIA-26-D
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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