Markets

Will the Republican party hold fewer than 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Below 45KalshiOpen, closes Feb 1, 2027559K contracts traded

17%

Yes · −2 pts in 24 h · bid 16%, ask 17%

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Last traded price

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 15% to 18% (+3 pts)Nov 2, 10:34 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the Republican party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
RSENATESEATS-27-B45
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Category
Elections

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