Markets

Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Republican party?

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton winKalshiSettled No411K contracts traded

No

Settled Nov 4, 2026

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Last traded price · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 6% to 1% (−5 pts)Nov 3, 9:12 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 13% to 5% (−8 pts)Nov 3, 8:25 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 19% to 23% (+4 pts)Nov 3, 6:51 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 24% to 19% (−5 pts)Nov 3, 6:29 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 27% to 31% (+4 pts)Nov 3, 9:32 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If ALL of the following occur: Texas Governor winner: Republican party, Texas Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.

If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.

Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Texas Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Texas Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

All conditions must be satisfied before November 3, 2027.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXTXSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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