Will Trump say "Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck" before Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiOpen, closes Jan 1, 2027328 contracts traded
70%
Yes · −11 pts in 24 h · bid 64%, ask 76%
Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
44% to 80% (+36 pts)Nov 2, 4:03 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
70% to 44% (−26 pts)Nov 2, 3:19 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
61% to 81% (+19.5 pts)Nov 1, 9:19 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
80% to 68% (−12 pts)Nov 1, 8:08 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
54% to 81% (+27 pts)Nov 1, 4:44 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck, or a plural or possessive form of Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
Grammatical/tense inflections.
Langbot listens for “crying chuck”, “cryin chuck”, “crying chucks”, “crying chuck's”, “cryin chucks”, “cryin chuck's”.
- Ticker
- KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-27JAN01-CRYI
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027
- Category
- Mentions
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