Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Nov 9, 2026?
KalshiOpen, closes Nov 9, 202656 contracts traded
4%
Yes · bid 1%, ask 7%
Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded · filled marks: hits that count; hollow: heard, not counted
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
8% to 4% (−4.5 pts)Nov 2, 6:16 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
4% to 8% (+4 pts)Nov 2, 6:13 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
10% to 5% (−4.5 pts)Nov 2, 3:15 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Peace in the Middle East, or a plural or possessive form of Peace in the Middle East, is stated by Donald Trump after November 2, 2026 at 12:00am ET and before Nov 9, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
Grammatical/tense inflections.
Langbot listens for “peace in the middle east”, “peace in the middle easts”, “peace in the middle east's”.
- Ticker
- KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV09-PEAC
- Closes
- Nov 9, 2026
- Category
- Mentions
On the record for this market
Every time a phrase this market settles on was heard, who said it and whether it counts under the rules, plus the text posted about it. Facts only, held 60 s behind live.
| When | What | Who or where | Under the rules |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 5:33 AM ET | “peace in the middle east” | On the call | Unclear · 0 of 1 · speaker not verified: only Donald Trump counts |
| Nov 2, 5:33 AM ET | “peace in the middle east” | On the call | Unclear · 0 of 1 · speaker not verified: only Donald Trump counts |
Test an idea on this market
Replay the recorded event with your strategy against the order books that were really there, with real fees and timing, before you risk money.
Test an idea on this market