Will Trump say "Ethanol" before Nov 2, 2026?
KalshiOpen, closes Nov 2, 202628.4K contracts traded
1%
Yes · −62 pts in 24 h · bid 0%, ask 1%
Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
53% to 16% (−37 pts)Nov 1, 6:19 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
53% to 76% (+22.5 pts)Nov 1, 1:46 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
78% to 53% (−25 pts)Nov 1, 1:28 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
48% to 68% (+19.5 pts)Nov 1, 1:39 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
68% to 47% (−21.5 pts)Nov 1, 1:06 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Ethanol, or a plural or possessive form of Ethanol, is stated by Donald Trump before Nov 2, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
Grammatical/tense inflections.
Langbot listens for “ethanol”, “ethanols”, “ethanol's”.
- Ticker
- KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ETHA
- Closes
- Nov 2, 2026
- Category
- Mentions
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