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Who will win the Michigan State Senate?

Republican partyKalshiOpen, closes Jan 27, 202730.7K contracts traded

13%

Yes · bid 12%, ask 13%

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Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

No move of three points or more on the record.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the Republican party wins the Michigan State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election.

If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No.

This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

See full rules for details.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXSTATELEG-MISEN26-R
Closes
Jan 27, 2027
Category
Elections

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