Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
KalshiOpen, closes Dec 31, 202810.9K contracts traded
6%
Yes · −5.4 pts in 24 h · bid 4%, ask 7%
Venue price history
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
10% to 5% (−4.8 pts)Oct 3, 10:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
16% to 10% (−5.5 pts)Oct 1, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
52% to 19% (−33.5 pts)Aug 19, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
15% to 52% (+37 pts)Aug 18, 12:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
5% to 10% (+5 pts)Aug 6, 8:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Chris Murphy wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options.
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner.
Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections.
If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No.
Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
- Ticker
- KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-CMUR
- Closes
- Dec 31, 2028
- Category
- Elections
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