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Will the Republican Party win 228-232 seats in the 120th Congress?

KalshiOpen, closes Feb 1, 2027754K contracts traded

0.8%

Yes · bid 0.7%, ask 0.8%

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Last traded price, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

No move of three points or more on the record.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the Republican Party has between 228-232 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXRHOUSESEATS-27-230
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Category
Elections

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