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Will the Republican Party win 198-202 seats in the 120th Congress?

KalshiOpen, closes Feb 1, 2027359K contracts traded

13%

Yes · bid 12%, ask 13%

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Last traded price

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

No move of three points or more on the record.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the Republican Party has between 198-202 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXRHOUSESEATS-27-200
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Category
Elections

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