Will Jocelyn Benson's governor margin minus Abdul El-Sayed's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Benson by 3-6KalshiOpen, closes Dec 1, 20262,509 contracts traded
34%
Yes · +1.5 pts in 24 h · bid 24%, ask 44%
Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
59% to 37% (−22.5 pts)Nov 2, 4:49 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
41% to 59% (+18.5 pts)Nov 2, 4:14 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
41% to 58% (+17 pts)Nov 1, 8:47 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
60% to 33% (−27.5 pts)Nov 1, 6:46 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
32% to 59% (+27 pts)Nov 1, 4:57 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Jocelyn Benson's margin in the Michigan governor election minus Abdul El-Sayed's margin in the Michigan U.S.
Senate election is between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results.
Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results.
A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first.
The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.
Langbot listens for “benson by 3-6”, “benson by three-6”, “benson by 3-six”, “benson by 3 6”, “benson by 36”.
- Ticker
- KXMIBENSONELSAYED-26DEC01-R3
- Closes
- Dec 1, 2026
- Category
- Elections
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