Markets

Will Richard Neal be the Democratic nominee for MA-01?

KalshiSettled Yes122K contracts traded

Yes

Settled Sep 2, 2026 · opened at 88%

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May 20Jun 19Jul 19Aug 18

Venue price history · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 76% to 87% (+11.5 pts)Aug 19, 3:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 85% to 75% (−10 pts)Aug 16, 4:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 73% to 84% (+11 pts)Aug 9, 1:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 91% to 73% (−18.5 pts)Aug 8, 5:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 84% to 91% (+7 pts)Aug 5, 4:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Richard Neal wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXMAPRIMARY-01D26-RNEA
Closes
Sep 2, 2026
Category
Elections

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