Will the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives before the 2026 midterms?
KalshiOpen, closes Jan 8, 202787.3K contracts traded
1%
Yes · −0.4 pts in 24 h · bid 0.6%, ask 2%
Venue price history
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
8% to 14% (+7 pts)Jul 10, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
20% to 7% (−12.4 pts)Jun 11, 1:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
23% to 17% (−6 pts)Jun 4, 5:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
17% to 23% (+6 pts)Jun 3, 5:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
8% to 20% (+12 pts)May 28, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S.
House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ticker
- KXLOSEMAJORITY-27JAN01
- Closes
- Jan 8, 2027
- Category
- Elections
Test an idea on this market
Replay the recorded event with your strategy against the order books that were really there, with real fees and timing, before you risk money.
Test an idea on this market