Markets

Will Joe Lombardo's Nevada Governor margin be larger than Rick Jackson's Georgia Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?

KalshiOpen, closes Dec 7, 2026758 contracts traded

42%

Yes · −30 pts in 24 h · bid 2%, ask 76%

Test an idea on this market
100%50%0%
12:00 PM ET12:00 AM12:00 PM

Last traded price

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 54% to 24% (−30 pts)Nov 4, 9:32 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 45% to 54% (+9 pts)Nov 3, 11:45 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Joe Lombardo's margin in the Nevada gubernatorial election minus Rick Jackson's margin in the Georgia gubernatorial election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their gubernatorial race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results.

A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first.

Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results.

Georgia's margin is from the Nov 3, 2026 general election; a Georgia runoff does NOT count.

The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places.

A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Lombardo Yes.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXLOMBARDOJACKSON-26DEC07-AL0
Closes
Dec 7, 2026
Category
Elections

Test an idea on this market

Replay the recorded event with your strategy against the order books that were really there, with real fees and timing, before you risk money.

Test an idea on this market

Embed this chart

Free to put on any page. It updates with the record and links back here.

<iframe src="https://langbot.ai/embed/markets/kalshi/kxlombardojackson-26dec07-al0" title="Will Joe Lombardo's Nevada Governor margin be larger than Rick Jackson's Georgia Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?" width="100%" height="380" style="border:0" loading="lazy"></iframe>