Markets

Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for September 2026 be at least 1.2M bpd?

KalshiSettled Yes

Yes

Settled Oct 13, 2026

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9:33:34 AM ET

Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade

What moved it

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The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Iran’s average daily crude oil production for September 2026 is at least 1.2M bpd (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is Iran’s crude oil production based on secondary sources, as shown in the OPEC crude oil production table.

OPEC reports this figure in thousand barrels per day; for purposes of this market, [X] million barrels per day equals [X × 1,000] thousand barrels per day.

Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent reports will not be considered.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXIRANCRUDE-26OCT13-T1.2
Closes
Oct 13, 2026
Category
Economics

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