Markets

Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Aug 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

7,725 or aboveKalshiSettled No533 contracts traded

No

Settled Aug 31, 2026 · opened at 72%

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Aug 29Aug 30Aug 31

Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 24% to 16% (−7.5 pts)Aug 31, 7:54 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 16% to 24% (+7.5 pts)Aug 31, 1:24 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 24% to 14% (−10 pts)Aug 30, 8:01 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 72% to 31% (−41 pts)Aug 30, 12:04 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 43% to 72% (+29 pts)Aug 30, 10:56 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT is above 7724.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will close on August 31, 2026.

The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 31, 2026.

Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.

See the rules for more information.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXINXU-26AUG31H1600-T7724.9999
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Category
Financials

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