No
Settled Sep 3, 2026 · opened at 16%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
21% to 6% (−15.5 pts)Sep 1, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
36% to 21% (−15 pts)Sep 1, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
56% to 36% (−19.5 pts)Sep 1, 1:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
32% to 41% (+9 pts)Aug 31, 12:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
21% to 32% (+11.5 pts)Aug 31, 11:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If @IMFNews posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 16-20 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
This will be determined by using the X API; deleted posts will be included if they are posted long enough to be picked up by it, which is called every five minutes.
It will include all posts except replies.
All "between" ranges are inclusive of their upper and lower bounds.
For convenience, a third-party tracking page for @IMFNews posts is available here: Post Counter.
This page is provided solely as an informational tool to help users monitor activity during the market period.
It is not the resolution source, and any discrepancy between Post Counter and Kalshi’s determination using the X API will be resolved according to the X API methodology described above.
- Ticker
- KXIMFTWEETS-26SEP03-16-20
- Closes
- Sep 3, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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