Markets

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?

KalshiSettled No844 contracts traded

No

Settled Sep 1, 2026 · opened at 85%

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100%50%0%
Aug 2Aug 9Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30

Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 21% to 8% (−13 pts)Aug 29, 11:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 11% to 21% (+10 pts)Aug 29, 4:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 22% to 11% (−11 pts)Aug 24, 7:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 78% to 22% (−56 pts)Aug 22, 12:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 90% to 78% (−12 pts)Aug 4, 2:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $50.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE.

For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values.

If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes.

This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops.

The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time.

If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No.

For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26AUG31-5000
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Category
Crypto

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