Will there be more than 2 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?
Above 2KalshiSettled Yes1,947 contracts traded
Yes
Settled Oct 12, 2026
100%50%0%
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
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The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If more than 2 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ticker
- KXHURRICANE-26DEC01CPACTOT-2
- Closes
- Oct 12, 2026
- Category
- Climate and weather
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