Will Fay become a Category 1 hurricane?
Category 1 or aboveKalshiSettled No281K contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 9, 2026
100%50%0%
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Fay reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.
- Ticker
- KXHURCAT-26FAY-T1
- Closes
- Oct 9, 2026
- Category
- Climate and weather
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