Markets

Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$29,500 in August 2026?

KalshiSettled No2,674 contracts traded

No

Settled Sep 1, 2026 · opened at 48%

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100%50%0%
Aug 3Aug 10Aug 17Aug 24Aug 31

Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 10% to 5% (−5 pts)Aug 5, 4:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 28% to 13% (−15 pts)Aug 3, 10:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the value of Hang Seng Index (HSI) is at least HK$29,500 from Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the value of the Hang Seng Index as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied.

It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed HK$29,500 at any single point from Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained.

If the index does not reach HK$29,500 at any point from Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, the market resolves to No.

Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.

If no data is available from Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No.

The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.

Disclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider.

These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXHSI-26AUG31-29500
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Category
Financials

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