Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?
KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20273,913 contracts traded
12%
Yes · −1 pts in 24 h · bid 11%, ask 12%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
24% to 17% (−7 pts)Sep 27, 5:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
19% to 25% (+6 pts)Sep 10, 9:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
25% to 19% (−6 pts)Sep 10, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
18% to 28% (+10 pts)Aug 28, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
32% to 18% (−14 pts)Aug 27, 1:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Democrats win 4 seats in the 2026 U.S.
House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.
Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- KXHOUSEWINSTATE-NCD-E4
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
Related on Polymarket
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