Will Democrats win exactly 1 seat in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Iowa?
KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20276,546 contracts traded
7%
Yes · +0.5 pts in 24 h · bid 4%, ask 10%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
12% to 8% (−3.5 pts)Oct 21, 5:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
12% to 9% (−3.5 pts)Oct 10, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
9% to 12% (+3.5 pts)Oct 9, 7:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
17% to 13% (−3.5 pts)Oct 3, 6:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Democrats win 1 seats in the 2026 U.S.
House of Representatives elections in Iowa, then the market resolves to Yes.
Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- KXHOUSEWINSTATE-IAD-E1
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
Related on Polymarket
The same question with different terms, so it is not blended into any number here.
The same question on Polymarket
Test an idea on this market
Replay the recorded event with your strategy against the order books that were really there, with real fees and timing, before you risk money.
Test an idea on this market