Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
Above 40KalshiSettled No28.4K contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 20, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026.
The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- Ticker
- KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT18-T40
- Closes
- Oct 20, 2026
- Category
- Politics
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