Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
Above 5KalshiSettled Yes7,373 contracts traded
Yes
Settled Oct 14, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026.
The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- Ticker
- KXHORMUZPEAK-26OCT11-T5
- Closes
- Oct 13, 2026
- Category
- Politics
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