Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026?
Above 10KalshiSettled No23.1K contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 6, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026.
The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- Ticker
- KXHORMUZPEAK-26OCT04-T10
- Closes
- Oct 6, 2026
- Category
- Politics
Test an idea on this market
Open it in the Langbot app to see the market brief, set alerts on its phrases and test a strategy on the events Langbot has recorded.
Test an idea on this market