Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026?
Above 10KalshiSettled No7,710 contracts traded
No
Settled Sep 2, 2026 · opened at 85%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
36% to 15% (−21 pts)Sep 1, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
10% to 36% (+26.5 pts)Sep 1, 1:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
40% to 60% (+20 pts)Aug 24, 8:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
67% to 48% (−18.5 pts)Aug 24, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
29% to 48% (+19 pts)Aug 22, 3:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026.
The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- Ticker
- KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG30-T10
- Closes
- Sep 1, 2026
- Category
- Politics
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