Markets

Will September 23 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (9/21 - 9/27)?

KalshiSettled No8,995 contracts traded

No

Settled Sep 29, 2026

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Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Sep 23, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.

The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXHORMUZMAX-26SEP27-SEP23
Closes
Sep 29, 2026
Category
Politics

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