Will October 5 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/5 - 10/11)?
KalshiSettled Yes11.1K contracts traded
Yes
Settled Oct 14, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Oct 5, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Daily counts will be evaluated from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026.
The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
- Ticker
- KXHORMUZMAX-26OCT11-OCT05
- Closes
- Oct 13, 2026
- Category
- Politics
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