Will Restore Britain receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
KalshiSettled Yes3,005 contracts traded
Yes
Settled Oct 9, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Restore Britain in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
Write-in votes in the result are included.
Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
- Ticker
- KXHOLBORNVOTE-26DEC31RES-2
- Closes
- Oct 9, 2026
- Category
- Elections
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