Will Green Party receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
KalshiSettled No725 contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 9, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
Write-in votes in the result are included.
Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no certified or qualifying unofficial results are available by the Expiration Date, resolve NO, except as provided in Fully-Conducted Elections.
If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
- Ticker
- KXHOLBORNVOTE-26DEC31GRN-40
- Closes
- Oct 9, 2026
- Category
- Elections
Test an idea on this market
Open it in the Langbot app to see the market brief, set alerts on its phrases and test a strategy on the events Langbot has recorded.
Test an idea on this market