Will a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occur in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026?
YesKalshiSettled No34.5K contracts traded
No
Settled Sep 8, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occurs in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service, then the market resolves to Yes.
The weather event must be explicitly identified and recorded in official reports, bulletins, advisories, or databases maintained by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service with jurisdiction over the specified area.
Only the first published version confirming the event is used for resolution.
For weather events defined by quantitative thresholds (hurricanes by sustained wind speed, tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita scale rating, heatwaves by temperature criteria, etc.), the determination follows official standards used by the Source Agency at the time of the event.
A recording of "T" for Trace is considered above 0.00 inches but not necessarily above a specific positive number.
Forecasts, projections, outlooks, or informal media mentions that do not result in confirmed occurrences do not qualify.
Events back-dated after expiration do not count unless officially documented prior to expiration.
If data is unavailable at the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No.
- Ticker
- KXHOBBYTEMP-26SEP01
- Closes
- Aug 31, 2026
- Category
- Climate and weather
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