Markets

Will a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occur in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026?

YesKalshiSettled No34.5K contracts traded

No

Settled Sep 8, 2026

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12:16:15 PM ET

Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

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The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occurs in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service, then the market resolves to Yes.

The weather event must be explicitly identified and recorded in official reports, bulletins, advisories, or databases maintained by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service with jurisdiction over the specified area.

Only the first published version confirming the event is used for resolution.

For weather events defined by quantitative thresholds (hurricanes by sustained wind speed, tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita scale rating, heatwaves by temperature criteria, etc.), the determination follows official standards used by the Source Agency at the time of the event.

A recording of "T" for Trace is considered above 0.00 inches but not necessarily above a specific positive number.

Forecasts, projections, outlooks, or informal media mentions that do not result in confirmed occurrences do not qualify.

Events back-dated after expiration do not count unless officially documented prior to expiration.

If data is unavailable at the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXHOBBYTEMP-26SEP01
Closes
Aug 31, 2026

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